Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club America win with a probability of 63.94%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Juarez had a probability of 15.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club America win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.87%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10%), while for a Juarez win it was 0-1 (5.11%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Club America would win this match.