Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club America win with a probability of 60.46%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Santos Laguna had a probability of 17.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club America win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.66%) and 1-2 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.35%), while for a Santos Laguna win it was 1-0 (5.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Club America would win this match.