Liga MX | Gameweek 4
Jan 29, 2025 at 3am UK
BC Place Stadium
Club Leon2 - 1Guadalajara
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Club Leon and CD Guadalajara.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Club Leon 1-0 Juarez
Saturday, January 25 at 11pm in Liga MX
Saturday, January 25 at 11pm in Liga MX
Goals
for
for
21
Last Game: Guadalajara 1-1 Tigres
Sunday, January 26 at 1.05am in Liga MX
Sunday, January 26 at 1.05am in Liga MX
Goals
for
for
24
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Leon win with a probability of 42.79%. A win for CD Guadalajara had a probability of 29.16% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club Leon win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.41%) and 2-0 (8.33%). The likeliest CD Guadalajara win was 0-1 (10.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Club Leon would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Club Leon | Draw | CD Guadalajara |
42.79% ( -0.21) | 28.05% ( -0.04) | 29.16% ( 0.25) |
| Both teams to score 46.01% ( 0.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.3% ( 0.24) | 59.7% ( -0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.99% ( 0.18) | 80.01% ( -0.18) |
| Club Leon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.37% ( 0) | 27.62% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.84% | 63.16% |
| CD Guadalajara Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.57% ( 0.33) | 36.42% ( -0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 26.79% ( 0.33) | 73.21% ( -0.33) |
| Score Analysis |
Club Leon 42.78%
CD Guadalajara 29.16%
Draw 28.04%
| Club Leon | Draw | CD Guadalajara |
| 1-0 @ 12.94% ( -0.12) 2-1 @ 8.41% ( -0)2-0 @ 8.33% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 3.61% 3-0 @ 3.57% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 1.82% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.16% 4-0 @ 1.15% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.8% Total : 42.78% | 1-1 @ 13.07% 0-0 @ 10.06% ( -0.09)2-2 @ 4.25% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.67% Total : 28.04% | 0-1 @ 10.16% 1-2 @ 6.6% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 5.13% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 2.22% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 1.73% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.43% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.89% Total : 29.16% |
Head to Head
Sep 19, 2024 2.05am
Gameweek 8
Guadalajara
2-0
Club Leon
Mar 9, 2024 11.05pm
Gameweek 11
Guadalajara
1-2
Club Leon
Jul 4, 2023 3am
Gameweek 1
Club Leon
1-2
Guadalajara
Apr 16, 2023 2.05am
Jul 21, 2022 3.05am
Gameweek 4
Guadalajara
0-0
Club Leon
Form Guide
