Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monterrey win with a probability of 67.59%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Queretaro had a probability of 11.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monterrey win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.79%) and 2-1 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.54%), while for a Queretaro win it was 0-1 (4.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monterrey would win this match.