Liga MX | Gameweek 17
Oct 2, 2022 at 6pm UK
Estadio Nemesio Diez
Toluca4 - 1Queretaro
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Toluca and Queretaro.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Mazatlan 1-1 Toluca
Saturday, September 17 at 3am in Liga MX
Saturday, September 17 at 3am in Liga MX
Last Game: Club Leon 3-1 Queretaro
Monday, September 19 at 1.05am in Liga MX
Monday, September 19 at 1.05am in Liga MX
Goals
for
for
17
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 53.57%. A win for Queretaro had a probability of 24.12% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.44%) and 2-0 (8.04%). The likeliest Queretaro win was 1-2 (6.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.22%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toluca would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Toluca | Draw | Queretaro |
53.57% ( 0) | 22.31% ( -0) | 24.12% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 59.77% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
