Liga MX | Gameweek 17
Apr 30, 2023 at 12am UK
Estadio Cuauhtémoc
Puebla5 - 2Tijuana
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Puebla and Club Tijuana.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Tigres 1-0 Puebla
Friday, April 21 at 3.05am in Liga MX
Friday, April 21 at 3.05am in Liga MX
Goals
for
for
25
Last Game: Tijuana 0-0 Club Leon
Saturday, April 22 at 4.05am in Liga MX
Saturday, April 22 at 4.05am in Liga MX
Goals
for
for
16
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Puebla win with a probability of 43.06%. A win for Club Tijuana had a probability of 30.89% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Puebla win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.9%) and 2-0 (7.57%). The likeliest Club Tijuana win was 0-1 (8.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Puebla would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Puebla | Draw | Club Tijuana |
43.06% ( -0.03) | 26.06% ( 0.09) | 30.89% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 52.7% ( -0.29) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
