Liga MX
May 13, 2021 at 1am UK
Estadio Nemesio Díez
Toluca2 - 1Cruz Azul
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Toluca and Cruz Azul.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruz Azul win with a probability of 51.32%. A win for Toluca had a probability of 24.43% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cruz Azul win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.64%) and 0-2 (8.94%). The likeliest Toluca win was 1-0 (6.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Toluca | Draw | Cruz Azul |
| 24.43% | 24.25% | 51.32% |
| Both teams to score 53.61% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
