Primeira Liga | Gameweek 16
Dec 27, 2024 at 8.15pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Arouca
Arouca1 - 1Gil Vicente
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Casa Pia 3-1 Arouca
Friday, December 20 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Friday, December 20 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Gil Vicente 0-0 Sporting Lisbon
Sunday, December 22 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Sunday, December 22 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Goals
for
for
17
We said: Arouca 1-1 Gil Vicente
After weeks of mediocre results, Gil Vicente have turned a corner of late and will be looking to make it 10 points from a possible 12 heading into their final outing of the year. While Arouca have struggled to grind out results this season, they have enjoyed the better of this fixture and we predict that they will do just enough to leave with a point. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 40.97%. A win for Arouca had a probability of 31.46% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.4%) and 0-2 (7.66%). The likeliest Arouca win was 1-0 (10.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Arouca | Draw | Gil Vicente |
31.46% ( 0.05) | 27.57% ( 0.09) | 40.97% ( -0.14) |
| Both teams to score 48.32% ( -0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
