Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brest win with a probability of 53.68%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Dijon had a probability of 22.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brest win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.75%) and 2-0 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.28%), while for a Dijon win it was 0-1 (6.53%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brest would win this match.