Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 74.4%. A draw had a probability of 15.3% and a win for Lens had a probability of 10.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.15%) and 0-3 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.02%), while for a Lens win it was 2-1 (3.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Lens | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
10.32% | 15.28% | 74.4% |
Both teams to score 54.12% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
67.63% | 32.37% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
46% | 54% |
Lens Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.43% | 41.57% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.94% | 78.06% |
Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
92.62% | 7.38% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
73.39% | 26.61% |
Score Analysis |
Lens | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
2-1 @ 3.08% 1-0 @ 2.69% 2-0 @ 1.18% 3-2 @ 1.18% 3-1 @ 0.9% Other @ 1.29% Total : 10.32% | 1-1 @ 7.02% 2-2 @ 4.02% 0-0 @ 3.07% 3-3 @ 1.02% Other @ 0.16% Total : 15.28% | 0-2 @ 10.42% 1-2 @ 9.15% 0-3 @ 9.06% 0-1 @ 7.99% 1-3 @ 7.95% 0-4 @ 5.91% 1-4 @ 5.18% 2-3 @ 3.49% 0-5 @ 3.08% 1-5 @ 2.7% 2-4 @ 2.28% 0-6 @ 1.34% 2-5 @ 1.19% 1-6 @ 1.18% Other @ 3.5% Total : 74.4% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 27 | 22 | 5 | 0 | 79 | 26 | 53 | 71 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 27 | 15 | 5 | 7 | 53 | 33 | 20 | 50 |
3 | Marseille | 27 | 15 | 4 | 8 | 54 | 36 | 18 | 49 |
4 | Nice | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 51 | 33 | 18 | 47 |
5 | Lille | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 41 | 28 | 13 | 47 |
6 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 45 | 35 | 10 | 46 |
7 | Lyon | 27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | 52 | 37 | 15 | 45 |
8 | Brest | 27 | 12 | 4 | 11 | 42 | 42 | 0 | 40 |
9 | Lens | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 31 | 30 | 1 | 39 |
10 | Auxerre | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 38 | 39 | -1 | 35 |
11 | Toulouse | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 35 | 33 | 2 | 34 |
12 | Rennes | 27 | 10 | 2 | 15 | 38 | 37 | 1 | 32 |
13 | NantesNantes | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 31 | 46 | -15 | 27 |
14 | Angers | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 26 | 45 | -19 | 27 |
15 | Reims | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 26 |
16 | Le HavreLe Havre | 27 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 29 | 57 | -28 | 24 |
17 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 27 | 6 | 5 | 16 | 28 | 63 | -35 | 23 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 27 | 4 | 3 | 20 | 21 | 62 | -41 | 15 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |