Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 74.4%. A draw had a probability of 15.3% and a win for Lens had a probability of 10.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.15%) and 0-3 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.02%), while for a Lens win it was 2-1 (3.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Lens | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
10.32% | 15.28% | 74.4% |
Both teams to score 54.12% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
67.63% | 32.37% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
46% | 54% |
Lens Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.43% | 41.57% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.94% | 78.06% |
Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
92.62% | 7.38% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
73.39% | 26.61% |
Score Analysis |
Lens | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
2-1 @ 3.08% 1-0 @ 2.69% 2-0 @ 1.18% 3-2 @ 1.18% 3-1 @ 0.9% Other @ 1.29% Total : 10.32% | 1-1 @ 7.02% 2-2 @ 4.02% 0-0 @ 3.07% 3-3 @ 1.02% Other @ 0.16% Total : 15.28% | 0-2 @ 10.42% 1-2 @ 9.15% 0-3 @ 9.06% 0-1 @ 7.99% 1-3 @ 7.95% 0-4 @ 5.91% 1-4 @ 5.18% 2-3 @ 3.49% 0-5 @ 3.08% 1-5 @ 2.7% 2-4 @ 2.28% 0-6 @ 1.34% 2-5 @ 1.19% 1-6 @ 1.18% Other @ 3.5% Total : 74.4% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 16 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 44 | 14 | 30 | 40 |
2 | Marseille | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 32 | 18 | 14 | 30 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 30 |
4 | Lille | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 27 |
5 | Lyon | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 25 |
6 | Nice | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 24 |
7 | Lens | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Auxerre | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 21 |
9 | Toulouse | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 21 |
10 | Reims | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 20 |
11 | Brest | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Rennes | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 17 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 17 |
14 | NantesNantes | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 14 |
15 | Angers | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 13 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 12 | 34 | -22 | 13 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 15 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 12 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 15 | 38 | -23 | 9 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |