Champions League

Champions League | Semi-Finals

Aug 18, 2020 at 8pm UK

Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica

RB Leipzig
0 - 3
PSG

Laimer (61'), Halstenberg (79'), Poulsen (79')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Marquinhos (13'), di Maria (42'), Bernat (56')
Kimpembe (45+3')

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Paris Saint-Germain captain Thiago Silva pictured in September 2019

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The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 52.69%. A win for RB Leipzig had a probability of 24.59% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.76%) and 0-2 (8.12%). The likeliest RB Leipzig win was 2-1 (6.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.

Result
RB Leipzig	Draw	Paris Saint-Germain
24.59%	22.71%	52.69%

Both teams to score 58.9%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.84%

41.16%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.45%

63.55%

RB Leipzig Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.84%

30.16%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.69%

66.31%

Paris Saint-Germain Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.33%

15.67%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.29%

44.71%

Score Analysis

RB Leipzig 24.59%

Paris Saint-Germain 52.7%

Draw 22.71%

RB Leipzig	Draw	Paris Saint-Germain
2-1 @ 6.29% 1-0 @ 5.66% 2-0 @ 3.4% 3-1 @ 2.52% 3-2 @ 2.33% 3-0 @ 1.36% Other @ 3.04% Total : 24.59%	1-1 @ 10.49% 2-2 @ 5.83% 0-0 @ 4.73% 3-3 @ 1.44% Other @ 0.22% Total : 22.71%	1-2 @ 9.73% 0-1 @ 8.76% 0-2 @ 8.12% 1-3 @ 6.01% 0-3 @ 5.02% 2-3 @ 3.6% 1-4 @ 2.79% 0-4 @ 2.32% 2-4 @ 1.67% 1-5 @ 1.03% Other @ 3.65% Total : 52.7%