Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bastia win with a probability of 42.78%. A win for Dunkerque had a probability of 28.84% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bastia win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.44%) and 1-2 (8.31%). The likeliest Dunkerque win was 1-0 (10.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
