Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 54.76%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Dunkerque had a probability of 20.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.95%) and 1-2 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.77%), while for a Dunkerque win it was 1-0 (7.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toulouse would win this match.
