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Attendance: 53,291
Liverpool logo
Premier League | Gameweek 25
Feb 1, 2020 at 3pm UK
 
Southampton logo

4-0

Oxlade-Chamberlain (47'), Henderson (60'), Salah (72', 90')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Preview: Liverpool vs. Southampton - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Liverpool and Southampton, including predictions, team news and head-to-head records.

Liverpool's final match before the mid-season break sees them welcome an in-form Southampton side to Anfield on Saturday.

Jurgen Klopp's champions-elect continued their procession towards the title with a 2-0 win over West Ham United in their game in hand on Wednesday night, but face a Southampton side flying up the Premier League table.


Match preview

Liverpool manager Jurgen Klopp celebrates after the match on January 29, 2020© Reuters

Nineteen is the magic number for Liverpool right now; that is how many points clear they are after 24 games of the season, the number of different Premier League teams they have beaten this term - an all-time club record in the top flight - and also the number of English league titles they look certain to have at the end of the campaign.

Klopp is refusing to subscribe to that latter statement just yet - at least in public - but it is nigh-on impossible to see Liverpool dropping the required number of points to blow the title at this stage.

The Reds, who have only lost one of their last 63 Premier League games in a run which stretches back to May 2018, could afford to lose six of their final 14 matches this term and still win the title regardless of what closest challengers Manchester City do.

The title is now a question of when Liverpool will win it rather than if, and those outside the club are instead focusing on whether Klopp's class of 2019-20 can go through the entire campaign unbeaten - a feat only achieved twice in English top-flight history before.

A frankly ridiculous run of 97 points from the last 99 on offer in the Premier League suggests that they are more than capable of doing so, while Man City's record tally of 100 points is also under serious threat with Liverpool currently on course for a 110-point haul - unprecedented in Europe's top divisions.

Liverpool's Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain celebrates scoring their second goal with Roberto Firmino on January 29, 2020© Reuters

Unsurprisingly, no team has ever reached the 70-point mark quicker than Liverpool have this season, with Wednesday's 2-0 triumph over West Ham United being their 15th Premier League victory in a row.

Only two teams in English top-flight history have managed longer winning streaks - Man City's 18-game run a couple of seasons ago and Liverpool's streak which fell one short of that record when they dropped their only points of the campaign at Manchester United in October.

The Reds' unbeaten run in the Premier League now stretches back to 41 games, and should they avoid defeat to Southampton on Saturday then they would equal Nottingham Forest's mark from 1978, with only Arsenal's Invincibles then left ahead of them in the annals of English top-flight football.

A plethora of other stats also point towards this Liverpool team being one of the best of all time, and it is hard to see them slipping up any time soon with Southampton the only top-half team they have left to face until April.

Indeed, after Saturday's match their next four games all come against the current bottom four, before making the short trip to Goodison Park for a Merseyside derby in which they could officially clinch the title.

Virgil van Dijk and Mohamed Salah celebrate Liverpool's win over Manchester United in the Premier League on January 19, 2020.© Reuters

Liverpool's incredible form demands comparisons with great teams of years gone by, but it is also important to highlight the more immediate past with Liverpool's latest clean sheet meaning that they have now conceded just one goal in their last nine league games.

Klopp's side have not conceded at Anfield in any competition since December 4, keeping five clean sheets in row having begun the campaign without one in their first 12, and their home form is arguably even more daunting than their overall record.

That number 19 crops up again in terms of consecutive Premier League wins at Anfield, and victory over Southampton would see them equal the record set by Man City between March 2011 and March 2012. The overall top-flight record is held by Liverpool - 21 in 1972 - and they could equal that against West Ham next month should they beat the Saints.

It is now 52 outings since Liverpool last lost a league game in front of their own fans, while they have scored in each of their last 27 of those, which is their longest such run since a 38-game streak from May 1967 to February 1969.

Southampton will not be expecting too much from their trip up north, then, particularly given that they have only won four of their 40 Premier League away games on Merseyside against both Liverpool and Everton.

Southampton manager Ralph Hasenhuttl before the match on January 21, 2020© Reuters

However, on current form the Saints are arguably the team with the best hope of halting the Liverpool juggernaut; only their hosts on Saturday have picked up more points over the last six games, with Southampton's victory over Crystal Palace in their last league outing lifting them into the top half of the table for the first time this season.

It has been a remarkable transition for a team that looked certain to be heavily embroiled in a relegation scrap just a few months ago and suffered the ignominy of a 9-0 home defeat at the hands of Leicester City in October.

After winning just two and losing eight of their opening 13 games, Ralph Hasenhuttl's side have now won seven and lost only three of their last 11, fully vindicating the board's decision to keep faith with a manager once dubbed the 'Alpine Klopp'.

The Saints have been particularly impressive away from home, winning each of their last four outings on the road including victories at Chelsea and Leicester, the latter exorcising some of the demons from that 9-0 humiliation.

Indeed, Southampton have won a higher proportion of their points away from home than any other team this season, and should they pull off a huge upset this weekend then it would be only the second time in their history that they have won five away league games on the bounce - and the first in the top flight.

Southampton's Stuart Armstrong celebrates scoring their second goal on January 21, 2020© Reuters

Like Liverpool, Southampton have an FA Cup replay getting in the way of their mid-season break, but once they return to Premier League action after this weekend they have a kind run of fixtures to look forward to.

Indeed, Southampton's next seven opponents after Liverpool are all currently below them in the table, and some fans may even be beginning to dream of European football next season - something which seemed a million miles away before their upturn in form.

Just three points now separate them from fifth-placed Manchester United - they are eight clear of the relegation zone - and with only the top four having won more games this season there is every possibility that they could capitalise on the inconsistency of those above them over the coming months.

First they must negotiate the toughest test in world football right now, though, and should they come away from Anfield with anything then those unlikely European aspirations will seem a lot more attainable.

Liverpool Premier League form: WWWWWW
Liverpool form (all competitions): WWWWDW

Southampton Premier League form: WDWWLW
Southampton form (all competitions): WWLWD


Team News

Liverpool's Sadio Mane goes down after sustaining an injury as Liverpool manager Jurgen Klopp reacts on the sideline in January 2020© Reuters

Sadio Mane will miss the visit of his former club as he continues to recover from the hamstring injury he picked up against Wolverhampton Wanderers, but he should be back after the winter break.

Divock Origi is likely to deputise again should he overcome the muscle cramps which forced his early withdrawal against West Ham, particularly with Xherdan Shaqiri also ruled out and Adam Lallana having been struggling with illness recently.

James Milner is close to a return but will not be back in time for this one, leaving Nathaniel Clyne as the only long-term absentee for the hosts.

Mohamed Salah will be looking to continue his fine record against Southampton, having scored five goals and created one more in his five such Premier League appearances.

That record includes three goals in two games at Anfield, and no player has scored more Premier League goals on home turf than Salah's tally of 10 this season.

No Liverpool player can match the goalscoring feats of ex-Red Danny Ings so far this term, though, and the 14-goal striker is expected to lead the line for Southampton against his former club.

Stuart Armstrong has scored in Southampton's last two away games but will miss this one due to a hip injury, while Cedric Soares left the club for Arsenal on deadline day.

Jannik Vestergaard, Shane Long and Yan Valery are all ready to return having missed out at the weekend, but new loan signing Kyle Walker-Peters is not yet ready for his debut.

Liverpool possible starting lineup:
Alisson; Alexander-Arnold, Gomez, Van Dijk, Robertson; Oxlade-Chamberlain, Henderson, Wijnaldum; Salah, Firmino, Origi

Southampton possible starting lineup:
McCarthy; Valery, Stephens, Vestergaard, Bertrand; Redmond, Ward-Prowse, Hojbjerg, Djenepo; Long, Ings


Head To Head

Liverpool have won each of their last five league meetings with Southampton by an aggregate score of 13-2, while their last league defeat to the Saints came in November 2016.

The reverse fixture saw Liverpool run out 2-1 winners in August, although Ings missed a golden late chance to rescue a draw having earlier halved the deficit.

Southampton have not won a league game at Anfield since 2013, while their last 30 top-flight visits to Liverpool have seen them come away with only three victories.


Sports Mole Logo

We say: Liverpool 2-0 Southampton

Southampton were a whisker away from taking points off Liverpool in August - something only one team has managed to do since March - but a trip to Anfield is a different proposition entirely. Liverpool seem simply unstoppable at the moment, particularly at home, and it is impossible to back against anything other than another win for the runaway league leaders.



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a win with a probability of 68.9%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for had a probability of 13%.

The most likely scoreline for a win was 2-0 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.71%) and 1-0 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.51%), while for a win it was 1-2 (3.75%).


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Cedric Soares in action for Southampton on December 1, 2019
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool119112161528
2Manchester CityMan City127232217523
3Chelsea126422314922
4Arsenal126422112922
5Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton126422116522
6Tottenham HotspurSpurs1261527131419
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest125431513219
8Aston Villa125431919019
9Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
10Fulham125341717018
11Brentford125252222017
12Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
13Bournemouth124351617-115
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Everton122551017-711
16Leicester CityLeicester122461523-810
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves122372028-89
18Crystal Palace121561017-78
19Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
20Southampton11119721-144


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