Major League Soccer

Major League Soccer | Gameweek 33

Sep 18, 2021 at 8.30pm UK

Mercedes-Benz Stadium

Atlanta
3 - 2
DC United

Barco (18'), Martinez (64'), Bello (87')
Franco (65'), Araujo (81')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Felipe (75'), Flores (90+4')
Brillant (27'), Moreno (34'), Paredes (50'), Alfaro (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Atlanta United and DC United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 56.29%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for DC United had a probability of 19.63%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.85%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.4%), while for a DC United win it was 0-1 (6.76%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atlanta United would win this match.

Result
Atlanta United	Draw	DC United
56.29%	24.08%	19.63%

Both teams to score 47.89%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.47%

52.53%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.81%

74.19%

Atlanta United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.49%

18.51%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.26%

49.74%

DC United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.77%

41.22%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.24%

77.75%

Score Analysis

Atlanta United 56.28%

DC United 19.63%

Draw 24.07%

Atlanta United	Draw	DC United
1-0 @ 12.87% 2-0 @ 10.85% 2-1 @ 9.62% 3-0 @ 6.1% 3-1 @ 5.41% 4-0 @ 2.57% 3-2 @ 2.4% 4-1 @ 2.28% 4-2 @ 1.01% Other @ 3.17% Total : 56.28%	1-1 @ 11.4% 0-0 @ 7.63% 2-2 @ 4.26% Other @ 0.78% Total : 24.07%	0-1 @ 6.76% 1-2 @ 5.05% 0-2 @ 3% 1-3 @ 1.49% 2-3 @ 1.26% Other @ 2.06% Total : 19.63%