Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 45.19%. A win for Minnesota United had a probability of 30.68% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.53%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Minnesota United win was 1-2 (7.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.21%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Houston Dynamo would win this match.
Result | ||
Houston Dynamo | Draw | Minnesota United |
45.19% | 24.13% | 30.68% |
Both teams to score 59.02% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.76% | 43.24% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.36% | 65.63% |
Houston Dynamo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.69% | 19.31% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.93% | 51.07% |
Minnesota United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.15% | 26.85% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.85% | 62.15% |
Score Analysis |
Houston Dynamo | Draw | Minnesota United |
2-1 @ 9.22% 1-0 @ 8.53% 2-0 @ 7.01% 3-1 @ 5.05% 3-0 @ 3.84% 3-2 @ 3.32% 4-1 @ 2.08% 4-0 @ 1.58% 4-2 @ 1.37% Other @ 3.2% Total : 45.19% | 1-1 @ 11.21% 2-2 @ 6.06% 0-0 @ 5.19% 3-3 @ 1.46% Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.13% | 1-2 @ 7.37% 0-1 @ 6.82% 0-2 @ 4.48% 1-3 @ 3.23% 2-3 @ 2.66% 0-3 @ 1.97% 1-4 @ 1.06% Other @ 3.09% Total : 30.68% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Germany | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | Switzerland | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | Hungary | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Scotland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Austria | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | France | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | Netherlands | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | Poland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |