Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 42.16%. A win for Toronto had a probability of 33.11% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.65%) and 2-0 (6.67%). The likeliest Toronto win was 1-2 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
New York City FC | Draw | Toronto |
42.16% | 24.73% | 33.11% |
Both teams to score 58% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.96% | 45.04% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.61% | 67.39% |
New York City FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.6% | 21.4% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.6% | 54.4% |
Toronto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.8% | 26.21% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.7% | 61.3% |
Score Analysis |
New York City FC | Draw | Toronto |
2-1 @ 8.93% 1-0 @ 8.65% 2-0 @ 6.67% 3-1 @ 4.59% 3-0 @ 3.43% 3-2 @ 3.07% 4-1 @ 1.77% 4-0 @ 1.32% 4-2 @ 1.18% Other @ 2.57% Total : 42.16% | 1-1 @ 11.58% 2-2 @ 5.98% 0-0 @ 5.61% 3-3 @ 1.37% Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.73% | 1-2 @ 7.75% 0-1 @ 7.51% 0-2 @ 5.03% 1-3 @ 3.46% 2-3 @ 2.67% 0-3 @ 2.25% 1-4 @ 1.16% Other @ 3.28% Total : 33.11% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |