Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 46.93%. A win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 28.57% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.37%) and 2-0 (7.72%). The likeliest Chicago Fire win was 0-1 (7.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that New York City FC would win this match.
Result | ||
New York City FC | Draw | Chicago Fire |
46.93% | 24.5% | 28.57% |
Both teams to score 56.42% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.93% | 46.07% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.63% | 68.37% |
New York City FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.27% | 19.72% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.26% | 51.74% |
Chicago Fire Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.28% | 29.72% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.22% | 65.78% |
Score Analysis |
New York City FC | Draw | Chicago Fire |
1-0 @ 9.51% 2-1 @ 9.37% 2-0 @ 7.72% 3-1 @ 5.07% 3-0 @ 4.18% 3-2 @ 3.08% 4-1 @ 2.06% 4-0 @ 1.7% 4-2 @ 1.25% Other @ 2.99% Total : 46.93% | 1-1 @ 11.54% 0-0 @ 5.86% 2-2 @ 5.69% 3-3 @ 1.25% Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.5% | 0-1 @ 7.11% 1-2 @ 7.01% 0-2 @ 4.32% 1-3 @ 2.83% 2-3 @ 2.3% 0-3 @ 1.75% Other @ 3.26% Total : 28.57% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |