Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 48.1%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 27.65% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.47%) and 2-0 (7.89%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 0-1 (6.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
New York Red Bulls | Draw | Philadelphia Union |
48.1% | 24.25% | 27.65% |
Both teams to score 56.58% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.45% | 45.55% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.12% | 67.87% |
New York Red Bulls Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.97% | 19.03% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.39% | 50.61% |
Philadelphia Union Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.88% | 30.11% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.74% | 66.26% |
Score Analysis |
New York Red Bulls | Draw | Philadelphia Union |
1-0 @ 9.51% 2-1 @ 9.47% 2-0 @ 7.89% 3-1 @ 5.24% 3-0 @ 4.36% 3-2 @ 3.14% 4-1 @ 2.17% 4-0 @ 1.81% 4-2 @ 1.3% Other @ 3.21% Total : 48.1% | 1-1 @ 11.41% 0-0 @ 5.73% 2-2 @ 5.68% 3-3 @ 1.26% Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.25% | 0-1 @ 6.88% 1-2 @ 6.85% 0-2 @ 4.13% 1-3 @ 2.74% 2-3 @ 2.27% 0-3 @ 1.65% Other @ 3.13% Total : 27.65% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |