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National League North | Gameweek 28
Jan 14, 2023 at 3pm UK
Lookers Vauxhall Stadium

Chester
2 - 2
Curzon Ashton

Williams (78'), Willoughby (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Peers (18'), Mahon (66')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Chester FC and Curzon Ashton.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Brackley Town 1-1 Chester
Saturday, January 7 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Curzon Ashton 2-1 Buxton
Saturday, January 7 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chester FC win with a probability of 57.83%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Curzon Ashton had a probability of 18.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chester FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.43%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.26%), while for a Curzon Ashton win it was 0-1 (6.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.

Result
Chester FCDrawCurzon Ashton
57.83% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 23.89% (0.00099999999999767 0) 18.28% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 46.27% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.47% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)53.53% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.95% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)75.05% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Chester FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.68% (0.0030000000000001 0)18.31%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.6% (0.0030000000000001 0)49.4%
Curzon Ashton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.64% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)43.36% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.41% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)79.59% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Chester FC 57.81%
    Curzon Ashton 18.28%
    Draw 23.88%
Chester FCDrawCurzon Ashton
1-0 @ 13.47%
2-0 @ 11.43%
2-1 @ 9.56%
3-0 @ 6.47% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 5.41%
4-0 @ 2.75% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 2.3%
3-2 @ 2.26%
4-2 @ 0.96% (-0.001 -0)
5-0 @ 0.93% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 57.81%
1-1 @ 11.26%
0-0 @ 7.94% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-2 @ 4% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 23.88%
0-1 @ 6.64%
1-2 @ 4.71% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 2.77% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 1.31% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.11% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.74%
Total : 18.28%

Head to Head
Aug 29, 2022 3pm
Jan 22, 2022 3pm
Curzon Ashton
4-3
Chester
Curran (23', 37'), Peers (54', 90+2')
Simmonds (46'), Waring (62'), Roberts (75')
Aug 24, 2021 7.45pm
Oct 27, 2020 7.45pm
Chester
2-1
Curzon Ashton
Elliott (37'), Glendon (83')
Knowles (68')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Scunthorpe UnitedScunthorpe106311651121
2Curzon AshtonCurzon Ashton10622128420
3Chester FCChester105321410418
4Chorley104511812617
5Alfreton TownAlfreton10451149517
6King's Lynn TownKing's Lynn105231111017
7Leamington FCLeamington104421510516
8Scarborough AthleticScarborough Ath104421612416
9Hereford UnitedHereford10361148615
10Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster104241410414
11Farsley CelticFarsley Celtic104241311214
12Brackley Town104241110114
13Spennymoor TownSpennymoor103431512313
14Darlington1034398113
15South Shields104151317-413
16Buxton94051110112
17SouthportSouthport103341320-712
18Peterborough SportsP'boro Sports10325813-511
19Warrington Town102441114-310
20Needham Market10316814-610
21Rushall Olympic103071217-59
22Marine AFC10235412-89
23Oxford CityOxford City101451323-107
24RadcliffeRadcliffe90451221-94


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