National League South | Gameweek 30
Jan 22, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Melbourne Cricket Ground
Chelmsford City1 - 0Welling United
Carruthers (25' pen.)
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the National League South clash between Chelmsford City and Welling United.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Worthing 2-3 Chelmsford City
Saturday, January 6 at 3pm in National League South
Saturday, January 6 at 3pm in National League South
Goals
for
for
41
Last Game: Welling United 1-3 Aveley
Saturday, January 6 at 3pm in National League South
Saturday, January 6 at 3pm in National League South
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 68.22%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Welling United had a probability of 13.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.74%) and 1-0 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.6%), while for a Welling United win it was 1-2 (3.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelmsford City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chelmsford City | Draw | Welling United |
68.22% ( 0.18) | 18.32% ( -0.08) | 13.46% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 53.17% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
