MX23RW : Monday, August 5 03:15:06| >> :300:86500:86500:
National League South | Gameweek 3
Aug 15, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Park View Road

Welling United
1 - 2
Chelmsford City

Adom (83')
Kassarate (87')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Ruff (62'), Castiglione (90+9')
Terry (90')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Welling United and Chelmsford City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Welling United

All competitions
Last Game: Welling United 0-1 Hemel Hempstead
Saturday, August 12 at 3pm in National League South

Chelmsford City

All competitions
Last Game: Chelmsford City 1-1 Hampton
Saturday, August 12 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 57.62%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Welling United had a probability of 18.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.9%) and 1-2 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.12%), while for a Welling United win it was 1-0 (6.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelmsford City would win this match.

Result
Welling UnitedDrawChelmsford City
18.95% (0.050999999999998 0.05) 23.42% (-0.022000000000002 -0.02) 57.62% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
Both teams to score 48.73% (0.153 0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.16% (0.158 0.16)50.84% (-0.15799999999999 -0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.28% (0.139 0.14)72.72% (-0.139 -0.14)
Welling United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59% (0.149 0.15)41% (-0.15 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.45% (0.134 0.13)77.55% (-0.134 -0.13)
Chelmsford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.6% (0.048000000000002 0.05)17.4% (-0.047999999999998 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.17% (0.081999999999994 0.08)47.83% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Welling United 18.95%
    Chelmsford City 57.61%
    Draw 23.42%
Welling UnitedDrawChelmsford City
1-0 @ 6.36% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
2-1 @ 4.96% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
2-0 @ 2.84% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 1.47% (0.011 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.29% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 18.95%
1-1 @ 11.12% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.13% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
2-2 @ 4.34% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 23.42%
0-1 @ 12.47% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
0-2 @ 10.9% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
1-2 @ 9.73% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
0-3 @ 6.36% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-3 @ 5.67% (0.013 0.01)
0-4 @ 2.78% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.53% (0.016 0.02)
1-4 @ 2.48% (0.01 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.11% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
0-5 @ 0.97% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 57.61%

Head to Head
Jan 28, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 30
Chelmsford City
0-1
Welling United
Maloney (49' pen.)
Aug 27, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 5
Welling United
1-2
Chelmsford City
Maloney (85')
Jackson (67', 81')
Mar 19, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 33
Welling United
1-0
Chelmsford City
Akinyemi (35')
Jan 15, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 22
Chelmsford City
0-0
Welling United
Frimpong (90+1')
Apr 17, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 35
Chelmsford City
0-0
Welling United
rhs 2.0
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