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National League South | Gameweek 27
Jan 7, 2023 at 3pm UK
The A2B Stadium

Worthing
3 - 2
Welling United

Pearce (18'), White (37', 62')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Maloney (69' pen.), Nkrumah (85')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Worthing and Welling United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hampton 0-0 Worthing
Sunday, January 1 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Welling United 2-1 Tonbridge Angels
Sunday, January 1 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Worthing win with a probability of 53.07%. A win for Welling United had a probability of 24.49% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Worthing win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.46%) and 2-0 (7.99%). The likeliest Welling United win was 1-2 (6.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.29%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Worthing would win this match.

Result
WorthingDrawWelling United
53.07% (0.027999999999999 0.03) 22.44% (0.0030000000000001 0) 24.49% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Both teams to score 59.75% (-0.050999999999995 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.02% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)39.98% (0.052 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.65% (-0.052 -0.05)62.35% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Worthing Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.87% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)15.13% (0.012 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.3% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)43.7% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Welling United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.4% (-0.051999999999992 -0.05)29.6% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.37% (-0.064 -0.06)65.63% (0.066999999999993 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Worthing 53.07%
    Welling United 24.5%
    Draw 22.44%
WorthingDrawWelling United
2-1 @ 9.72% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-0 @ 8.46% (0.017999999999999 0.02)
2-0 @ 7.99% (0.014 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.12%
3-0 @ 5.03% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.73% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.89% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 2.37% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.76% (-0.004 -0)
5-1 @ 1.09%
Other @ 3.91%
Total : 53.07%
1-1 @ 10.29% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.92% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.48% (0.011 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.51% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 22.44%
1-2 @ 6.27% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
0-1 @ 5.45% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 3.32% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 2.54% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.4% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.35% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 24.5%

Head to Head
Aug 13, 2022 3pm
Welling United
2-4
Worthing
Hyde (6'), Azeez (31')
Kealy (5', 57'), White (19'), Rye (26')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Ravens
30-23
Chargers
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Truro CityTruro City19114433171637
2Weston-super-MareWeston18114333191437
3Torquay UnitedTorquay Utd199732618834
4Eastbourne BoroughEastbourne1910452825334
5Dorking WanderersDorking2096542301233
6Farnborough TownFarnborough1910363227533
7Slough TownSlough1994636231331
8Worthing188552729-229
9Boreham WoodBoreham Wood1776425141127
10Chesham UnitedChesham168352923627
11Maidstone UnitedMaidstone176832319426
12AFC HornchurchHornchurch187561818026
13Hampton & RichmondHampton187472519625
14Tonbridge AngelsTonbridge Angels166732217525
15Chippenham TownChippenham197482422225
16Chelmsford CityChelmsford City175752825322
17Hemel Hempstead TownHemel Hemps.2064102640-1422
18Welling UnitedWelling United1962112136-1520
19Bath City1954101426-1219
20Salisbury174582228-617
21Aveley1842122333-1014
22St Albans CitySt Albans City1826101931-1212
23Weymouth1826101226-1412
24Enfield Town1832131740-2311


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