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National League South | Gameweek 19
Dec 29, 2022 at 3pm UK
Twerton Park Stadium

Bath City
2 - 2
Worthing

Cox (57', 63')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Pearce (54'), Starkey (90+3')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Bath City and Worthing.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bath City 0-0 Dulwich Hamlet
Tuesday, January 17 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Worthing 4-3 Hampton
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Worthing win with a probability of 37.4%. A win for Bath City had a probability of 37.04% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Worthing win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.33%) and 0-2 (6.08%). The likeliest Bath City win was 1-0 (8.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
Bath CityDrawWorthing
37.04% (0.39 0.39) 25.56% (0.114 0.11) 37.4% (-0.507 -0.51)
Both teams to score 55.78% (-0.397 -0.4)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.8% (-0.511 -0.51)48.2% (0.51 0.51)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.65% (-0.47 -0.47)70.35% (0.46899999999999 0.47)
Bath City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.59% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)25.41% (0.02 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.78% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)60.22% (0.026000000000003 0.03)
Worthing Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.78% (-0.511 -0.51)25.21% (0.508 0.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.05% (-0.708 -0.71)59.95% (0.707 0.71)
Score Analysis
    Bath City 37.04%
    Worthing 37.4%
    Draw 25.55%
Bath CityDrawWorthing
1-0 @ 8.78% (0.179 0.18)
2-1 @ 8.28% (0.044 0.04)
2-0 @ 6.01% (0.119 0.12)
3-1 @ 3.78% (0.018 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.75% (0.053 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.61% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.3% (0.006 0.01)
4-0 @ 0.94% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 37.04%
1-1 @ 12.09% (0.07 0.07)
0-0 @ 6.41% (0.134 0.13)
2-2 @ 5.71% (-0.054 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.2% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.55%
0-1 @ 8.83% (0.057 0.06)
1-2 @ 8.33% (-0.074 -0.07)
0-2 @ 6.08% (-0.05 -0.05)
1-3 @ 3.83% (-0.091 -0.09)
0-3 @ 2.79% (-0.065 -0.07)
2-3 @ 2.62% (-0.064 -0.06)
1-4 @ 1.32% (-0.051 -0.05)
0-4 @ 0.96% (-0.037 -0.04)
2-4 @ 0.9% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 37.4%

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