
Nations League | Semi-Finals
Oct 7, 2021 at 7.45pm UK

Belgium2 - 3France
The Match
Team News
France manager Didier Deschamps starts both Theo Hernandez and Lucas Hernandez for Thursday's UEFA Nations League semi-final with Belgium.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Thursday's Nations League clash between Belgium and France, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how France could line up for Thursday's UEFA Nations League semi-final with Belgium.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belgium win with a probability of 39.9%. A win for France had a probability of 38.7% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Belgium win was 2-1 with a probability of 7.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (4.93%) and 3-2 (4.6%). The likeliest France win was 1-2 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Belgium | Draw | France |
39.9% | 21.41% | 38.7% |
Both teams to score 71.84% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
72.49% | 27.51% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
51.88% | 48.13% |
Belgium Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.99% | 15.01% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.52% | 43.48% |
France Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.53% | 15.48% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.65% | 44.35% |
Score Analysis |
Belgium 39.9%
France 38.7%
Draw 21.41%
Belgium | Draw | France |
2-1 @ 7.79% 3-1 @ 4.93% 3-2 @ 4.6% 1-0 @ 4.41% 2-0 @ 4.18% 3-0 @ 2.64% 4-1 @ 2.34% 4-2 @ 2.18% 4-3 @ 1.36% 4-0 @ 1.25% Other @ 4.24% Total : 39.9% | 1-1 @ 8.22% 2-2 @ 7.27% 3-3 @ 2.86% 0-0 @ 2.32% Other @ 0.73% Total : 21.41% | 1-2 @ 7.67% 1-3 @ 4.77% 2-3 @ 4.52% 0-1 @ 4.34% 0-2 @ 4.05% 0-3 @ 2.52% 1-4 @ 2.23% 2-4 @ 2.11% 3-4 @ 1.33% 0-4 @ 1.17% Other @ 4% Total : 38.7% |
How you voted: Belgium vs France
Belgium
72.8%France
27.2%511
Head to Head
Jul 10, 2018 7pm
Jun 7, 2015 8pm
International Friendlies
France
3-4
Belgium
Aug 14, 2013 8pm
International Friendlies
Belgium
0-0
France
Jun 5, 1938
4pm
Round of 16
France
F
vs.
B
Form Guide
Build-up

How France could line up against Belgium
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how France could line up for Thursday's UEFA Nations League semi-final with Belgium.
4 years ago

How Belgium could line up against France
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Belgium could line up for Thursday's UEFA Nations League semi-final with France.
4 years ago