We said: Romania 1-1 Finland
The form book points to Finland remaining on track for promotion and pushing Romania towards the second tier exit door. However, despite their lack of goals, we are backing Romania to find some form in front of their own supporters, even if it may only be enough for a share of the spoils.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Romania win with a probability of 38.38%. A win for Finland had a probability of 36.46% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Romania win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.48%) and 2-0 (6.1%). The likeliest Finland win was 0-1 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Romania in this match.