MX23RW : Monday, December 23 07:14:40| >> :600:922571:922571:
Romania national football team
Nations League | League B
Jun 11, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
 
Finland national football team

Romania
1 - 0
Finland

Bancu (30')
Puscas (60'), Nita (86'), Iordanescu (88')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Alho (7'), Pohjanpalo (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Nations League clash between Romania and Finland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Six:
Last Game: Bosnia H'vina 1-0 Romania
Tuesday, June 7 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Six:
Last Game: Finland 2-0 Montenegro
Tuesday, June 7 at 5pm in Nations League

We said: Romania 1-1 Finland

The form book points to Finland remaining on track for promotion and pushing Romania towards the second tier exit door. However, despite their lack of goals, we are backing Romania to find some form in front of their own supporters, even if it may only be enough for a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Romania win with a probability of 38.38%. A win for Finland had a probability of 36.46% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Romania win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.48%) and 2-0 (6.1%). The likeliest Finland win was 0-1 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Romania in this match.

Result
RomaniaDrawFinland
38.38% (0.079000000000001 0.08) 25.16% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 36.46% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)
Both teams to score 57.16% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.59% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)46.41% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.3% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)68.69% (0.0020000000000095 0)
Romania Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.12% (0.042000000000002 0.04)23.87% (-0.041 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.93% (0.058999999999997 0.06)58.07% (-0.058 -0.06)
Finland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.09% (-0.043000000000006 -0.04)24.91% (0.044 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.47% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)59.53% (0.059999999999995 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Romania 38.38%
    Finland 36.46%
    Draw 25.15%
RomaniaDrawFinland
1-0 @ 8.52% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.48% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.1% (0.015 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.05% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.91% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.81% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.45% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 1.04% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 1.01% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 38.38%
1-1 @ 11.83%
0-0 @ 5.95%
2-2 @ 5.89% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1.3%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 25.15%
0-1 @ 8.27% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.23% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.75% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.81% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.73% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 2.66% (-0.01 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.33% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
2-4 @ 0.95% (-0.003 -0)
0-4 @ 0.93% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 36.46%

How you voted: Romania vs Finland

Romania
45.5%
Draw
27.3%
Finland
27.3%
22
Head to Head
Jun 5, 2018 6.30pm
Romania
2-0
Finland
Manea (37'), Deac (61')
Anton (47'), Tatarușanu (78'), Balasa (78')

Soiri (82')
Oct 8, 2015 7.45pm
Group F
Romania
1-1
Finland
Hoban (91')
Hoban (71')
Pohjanpalo (66')
Pohjanpalo (49'), Halsti (54'), Toivio (73'), Hetemaj (82')
Oct 14, 2014 7.45pm
Group F
Finland
0-2
Romania

Ring (52')
Ring (56')
Stancu (54', 83')
Tanase (8'), Stancu (44')
rhs 2.0
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