Nations League | Final
Oct 10, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Spain1 - 2France
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's Nations League clash between Spain and France, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how France could line up for Sunday's UEFA Nations League final with Spain.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a France win with a probability of 39.25%. A win for Spain had a probability of 36.67% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a France win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.38%) and 0-2 (5.73%). The likeliest Spain win was 2-1 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for France in this match.
| Result | ||
| Spain | Draw | France |
| 36.67% | 24.08% | 39.25% |
| Both teams to score 61.13% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.71% | 41.29% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.32% | 63.68% |
| Spain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.54% | 22.46% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 44% | 56% |
| France Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.83% | 21.16% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 45.97% | 54.03% |
| Score Analysis |
Spain 36.67%
France 39.25%
Draw 24.07%
| Spain | Draw | France |
| 2-1 @ 8.23% 1-0 @ 7.1% 2-0 @ 5.3% 3-1 @ 4.1% 3-2 @ 3.18% 3-0 @ 2.64% 4-1 @ 1.53% 4-2 @ 1.19% 4-0 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.41% Total : 36.67% | 1-1 @ 11.02% 2-2 @ 6.39% 0-0 @ 4.75% 3-3 @ 1.65% Other @ 0.26% Total : 24.07% | 1-2 @ 8.56% 0-1 @ 7.38% 0-2 @ 5.73% 1-3 @ 4.43% 2-3 @ 3.31% 0-3 @ 2.97% 1-4 @ 1.72% 2-4 @ 1.28% 0-4 @ 1.15% Other @ 2.72% Total : 39.25% |
How you voted: Spain vs France
Spain
32.2%France
67.8%456
Head to Head
Mar 28, 2017 8pm
International Friendlies
France
0-2
Spain
Sep 4, 2014 8pm
Jun 27, 2013 6pm
Mar 26, 2013 8pm
Qualifiers
France
0-1
Spain
Oct 16, 2012 8pm
Qualifiers
Spain
1-1
France
Form Guide
Build-up
Adrien Rabiot to miss Nations League final after positive coronavirus test
France confirm that midfielder Adrien Rabiot will miss Sunday's Nations League final with Spain after testing positive for coronavirus.
4 years ago
How France could line up against Spain
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how France could line up for Sunday's UEFA Nations League final with Spain.
4 years ago
How Spain could line up against France
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Spain could line up for Sunday's UEFA Nations League final with France.
4 years ago
