Olympic Games Women's Football | Group Stage
Jul 21, 2021 at 12.30pm UK
Ajinomoto Stadium
Australia Women2 - 1N.Zealand Women
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Australia Women win with a probability of 92.89%. A draw had a probability of 5.2% and a win for New Zealand Women had a probability of 1.91%.
The most likely scoreline for an Australia Women win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (11.53%) and 5-0 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (2.43%), while for a New Zealand Women win it was 1-2 (0.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Australia Women would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Australia Women | Draw | New Zealand Women |
| 92.89% | 5.2% | 1.91% |
| Both teams to score 40.56% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
