Olympic Games Women's Football | Group Stage
Jul 25, 2024 at 4pm UK
Stade Geoffroy-Guichard
Canada Women2 - 1New Zealand W
Coverage of the Olympic Games Women's Football Group Stage clash between Canada Women and New Zealand Women.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: USA Women 2-2 Canada Women (5-4 pen.)
Wednesday, April 10 at 12am in SheBelieves Cup
Wednesday, April 10 at 12am in SheBelieves Cup
Last Game: Switzerland W 0-0 New Zealand W
Sunday, July 30 at 8am in Women's World Cup
Sunday, July 30 at 8am in Women's World Cup
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Canada Women win with a probability of 83.7%. A draw had a probability of 12.4% and a win for New Zealand Women had a probability of 3.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Canada Women win was 2-0 with a probability of 17.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (14.62%) and 1-0 (14.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (5.62%), while for a New Zealand Women win it was 0-1 (2.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Canada Women would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Canada Women | Draw | New Zealand Women |
83.7% ( -0.86) | 12.36% ( 0.39) | 3.94% ( 0.46) |
| Both teams to score 28.99% ( 2.36) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
