MX23RW : Saturday, November 23 14:54:58| >> :60:209:209:
New Zealand national football team
Women's World Cup | Group Stage
Jul 25, 2023 at 6.30am UK
Westpac Stadium
Philippines national football team

New Zealand W
0 - 1
Philippines W


Wilkinson (42')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Bolden (24')
Beard (49')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Women's World Cup clash between New Zealand Women and Philippines Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: New Zealand W 1-0 Norway Women
Thursday, July 20 at 8am in Women's World Cup
All competitions
Last Game: Philippines W 0-2 Switzerland W
Friday, July 21 at 6am in Women's World Cup

We said: New Zealand Women 2-1 Philippines Women

As the tournament co-hosts, New Zealand will have their own support cheering them on, and we think that they will utilise home advantage to claim a narrow victory over Philippines on Tuesday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philippines Women win with a probability of 51.72%. A win for New Zealand Women had a probability of 25.51% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Philippines Women win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.48%) and 0-2 (7.83%). The likeliest New Zealand Women win was 2-1 (6.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Philippines Women would win this match.

Result
New Zealand WomenDrawPhilippines Women
25.51% (-0.539 -0.54) 22.77% (-0.198 -0.2) 51.72% (0.736 0.74)
Both teams to score 59.72% (0.14400000000001 0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.48% (0.434 0.43)40.52% (-0.434 -0.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.1% (0.443 0.44)62.9% (-0.443 -0.44)
New Zealand Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.9% (-0.181 -0.18)29.09% (0.181 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.99% (-0.224 -0.22)65.01% (0.224 0.22)
Philippines Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.22% (0.41799999999999 0.42)15.78% (-0.417 -0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.09% (0.763 0.76)44.91% (-0.764 -0.76)
Score Analysis
    New Zealand Women 25.51%
    Philippines Women 51.73%
    Draw 22.76%
New Zealand WomenDrawPhilippines Women
2-1 @ 6.46% (-0.102 -0.1)
1-0 @ 5.67% (-0.143 -0.14)
2-0 @ 3.5% (-0.106 -0.11)
3-1 @ 2.66% (-0.056 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.46% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-0 @ 1.44% (-0.051 -0.05)
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 25.51%
1-1 @ 10.46% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-2 @ 5.97% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.59% (-0.092 -0.09)
3-3 @ 1.51% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 22.76%
1-2 @ 9.66% (0.035 0.04)
0-1 @ 8.48% (-0.048 -0.05)
0-2 @ 7.83% (0.066999999999999 0.07)
1-3 @ 5.95% (0.105 0.11)
0-3 @ 4.82% (0.109 0.11)
2-3 @ 3.67% (0.046 0.05)
1-4 @ 2.75% (0.086 0.09)
0-4 @ 2.22% (0.081 0.08)
2-4 @ 1.7% (0.045 0.05)
1-5 @ 1.01% (0.046 0.05)
Other @ 3.64%
Total : 51.73%

How you voted: N.Zealand Women vs Philippines W

New Zealand Women
68.3%
Draw
15.9%
Philippines Women
15.9%
63
rhs 2.0
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