Tokyo 2020

Olympic Games Women's Football | Quarter-Finals

Jul 30, 2021 at 11am UK

Saitama Stadium 2002

Sweden Women
3 - 1
Japan Women

Ericsson (7'), Blackstenius (53'), Asllani (68' pen.)
Ilestedt (29')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Tanaka (23')
Miura (38')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Olympic Games Women's Football clash between Sweden Women and Japan Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sweden Women win with a probability of 49.26%. A win for Japan Women had a probability of 25.78% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sweden Women win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.47%) and 2-0 (8.75%). The likeliest Japan Women win was 0-1 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sweden Women would win this match.

Result
Sweden Women	Draw	Japan Women
49.26%	24.96%	25.78%

Both teams to score 52.69%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.07%

49.92%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.08%

71.91%

Sweden Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.71%

20.29%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.35%

52.65%

Japan Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.1%

33.89%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.43%

70.56%

Score Analysis

Sweden Women 49.25%

Japan Women 25.78%

Draw 24.95%

Sweden Women	Draw	Japan Women
1-0 @ 10.96% 2-1 @ 9.47% 2-0 @ 8.75% 3-1 @ 5.03% 3-0 @ 4.65% 3-2 @ 2.72% 4-1 @ 2.01% 4-0 @ 1.86% 4-2 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.72% Total : 49.25%	1-1 @ 11.86% 0-0 @ 6.88% 2-2 @ 5.12% 3-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.95%	0-1 @ 7.44% 1-2 @ 6.42% 0-2 @ 4.03% 1-3 @ 2.32% 2-3 @ 1.85% 0-3 @ 1.45% Other @ 2.28% Total : 25.78%