MX23RW : Friday, November 8 15:34:03| >> :600:2232792:2232792:
Zambia national football team
Olympic Games Women's Football | Group Stage
Jul 31, 2024 at 6pm UK
Stade Geoffroy-Guichard

Zambia Women
1 - 4
Germany Women

Banda (50')
Chanda (35')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Schuller (10', 61'), Buhl (48'), Senss (90+7')
Coverage of the Olympic Games Women's Football Group Stage clash between Zambia Women and Germany Women.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Olympic Games Women's Football
Last Game: Australia Women 6-5 Zambia Women
Sunday, July 28 at 6pm in Olympic Games Women's Football
All competitions
Olympic Games Women's Football
Last Game: USA Women 4-1 Germany Women
Sunday, July 28 at 8pm in Olympic Games Women's Football

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Germany Women win with a probability of 50.26%. A win for Zambia Women had a probability of 25.93% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Germany Women win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.57%) and 0-2 (8.23%). The likeliest Zambia Women win was 2-1 (6.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Germany Women would win this match.

Result
Zambia WomenDrawGermany Women
25.93% (-0.445 -0.45) 23.8% (0.032 0.03) 50.26% (0.414 0.41)
Both teams to score 56.58% (-0.526 -0.53)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.14% (-0.504 -0.5)44.86% (0.508 0.51)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.78% (-0.488 -0.49)67.22% (0.48999999999999 0.49)
Zambia Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.93% (-0.611 -0.61)31.07% (0.615 0.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.61% (-0.72000000000001 -0.72)67.38% (0.723 0.72)
Germany Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.08% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)17.91% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.28% (-0.056999999999995 -0.06)48.72% (0.061000000000007 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Zambia Women 25.93%
    Germany Women 50.26%
    Draw 23.8%
Zambia WomenDrawGermany Women
2-1 @ 6.54% (-0.086 -0.09)
1-0 @ 6.51% (0.032 0.03)
2-0 @ 3.8% (-0.045 -0.04)
3-1 @ 2.55% (-0.078 -0.08)
3-2 @ 2.19% (-0.069 -0.07)
3-0 @ 1.48% (-0.043 -0.04)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 25.93%
1-1 @ 11.18% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.62% (-0.081 -0.08)
0-0 @ 5.57% (0.12 0.12)
3-3 @ 1.26% (-0.041 -0.04)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 23.8%
1-2 @ 9.62% (0.026 0.03)
0-1 @ 9.57% (0.197 0.2)
0-2 @ 8.23% (0.16 0.16)
1-3 @ 5.51% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-3 @ 4.72% (0.086 0.09)
2-3 @ 3.22% (-0.05 -0.05)
1-4 @ 2.37% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-4 @ 2.03% (0.035 0.03)
2-4 @ 1.39% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 3.61%
Total : 50.26%

How you voted: Zambia Women vs Germany Women

Zambia Women
18.2%
Draw
0.0%
Germany Women
81.8%
11