MX23RW : Friday, November 8 17:01:06| >> :600:2238015:2238015:
USA national football team
Olympic Games Women's Football | Group Stage
Jul 28, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stade Velodrome

USA Women
4 - 1
Germany Women

Smith (10', 44'), Pugh (26'), Williams (89')
Coffey (22')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Gwinn (22')
Hendrich (18')
Coverage of the Olympic Games Women's Football Group Stage clash between USA Women and Germany Women.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Olympic Games Women's Football
Last Game: USA Women 3-0 Zambia Women
Thursday, July 25 at 8pm in Olympic Games Women's Football
All competitions
Olympic Games Women's Football
Last Game: Germany Women 3-0 Australia Women
Thursday, July 25 at 6pm in Olympic Games Women's Football

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA Women win with a probability of 56.04%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Germany Women had a probability of 20.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a USA Women win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.34%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.24%), while for a Germany Women win it was 0-1 (6.48%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that USA Women would win this match.

Result
USA WomenDrawGermany Women
56.04% (-0.0020000000000024 -0) 23.63% (0.0019999999999989 0) 20.33%
Both teams to score 50.27% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.09% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)49.91% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.1% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)71.9% (0.0030000000000001 0)
USA Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.36% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)17.64% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.75% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)48.25% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Germany Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.04% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)38.96% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.31%75.69%
Score Analysis
    USA Women 56.03%
    Germany Women 20.33%
    Draw 23.63%
USA WomenDrawGermany Women
1-0 @ 11.92%
2-0 @ 10.34%
2-1 @ 9.75%
3-0 @ 5.98%
3-1 @ 5.64% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-2 @ 2.66%
4-0 @ 2.6%
4-1 @ 2.45%
4-2 @ 1.15%
Other @ 3.54%
Total : 56.03%
1-1 @ 11.24% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.87% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-2 @ 4.6%
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 23.63%
0-1 @ 6.48%
1-2 @ 5.3%
0-2 @ 3.05%
1-3 @ 1.66%
2-3 @ 1.44%
0-3 @ 0.96%
Other @ 1.43%
Total : 20.33%

How you voted: USA Women vs Germany Women

USA Women
88.9%
Draw
0.0%
Germany Women
11.1%
9
Head to Head
Jul 1, 2015 12am
Semi-Finals
USA Women
2-0
Germany Women
Lloyd (69' pen.), O'Hara (84')
Sauerbrunn (37'), Johnston (59')

Maier (34'), Krahn (67')
Jun 1, 2015
12am