Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA Women win with a probability of 56.04%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Germany Women had a probability of 20.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a USA Women win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.34%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.24%), while for a Germany Women win it was 0-1 (6.48%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that USA Women would win this match.

Result
USA Women	Draw	Germany Women
56.04% ( -0)	23.63% ( 0)	20.33%

Both teams to score 50.27% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.09% (

-0)

49.91% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.1% (

-0)

71.9% (

USA Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.36% (

-0)

17.64% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.75% (

-0)

48.25% (

Germany Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.04% (

-0)

38.96% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.31%

75.69%

Score Analysis

USA Women 56.03%

Germany Women 20.33%

Draw 23.63%

USA Women	Draw	Germany Women
1-0 @ 11.92% 2-0 @ 10.34% 2-1 @ 9.75% 3-0 @ 5.98% 3-1 @ 5.64% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.66% 4-0 @ 2.6% 4-1 @ 2.45% 4-2 @ 1.15% Other @ 3.54% Total : 56.03%	1-1 @ 11.24% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.87% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.6% Other @ 0.93% Total : 23.63%	0-1 @ 6.48% 1-2 @ 5.3% 0-2 @ 3.05% 1-3 @ 1.66% 2-3 @ 1.44% 0-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 1.43% Total : 20.33%