Olympic Games Men's Football | Group Stage
Jul 25, 2021 at 12pm UK
Saitama Stadium 2002
Japan U23s2 - 1Mexico U23s
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Japan Under-23s win with a probability of 40.92%. A win for Mexico Under-23s had a probability of 36.38% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Japan Under-23s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.96%) and 2-0 (5.19%). The likeliest Mexico Under-23s win was 1-2 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Japan Under-23s in this match.
| Result | ||
| Japan Under-23s | Draw | Mexico Under-23s |
| 40.92% | 22.7% | 36.38% |
| Both teams to score 66.36% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
