Olympic Games Men's Football | Group Stage
Jul 22, 2021 at 12pm UK
Ajinomoto Stadium
Japan U23s1 - 0South Africa U23s
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Africa Under-23s win with a probability of 41.06%. A win for Japan Under-23s had a probability of 32.19% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a South Africa Under-23s win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.59%) and 0-2 (7.38%). The likeliest Japan Under-23s win was 1-0 (9.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Japan Under-23s | Draw | South Africa Under-23s |
| 32.19% | 26.76% | 41.06% |
| Both teams to score 51% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
