Tokyo 2020

Olympic Games Men's Football | Group Stage

Jul 22, 2021 at 12pm UK

Ajinomoto Stadium

Japan U23s
1 - 0
South Africa U23s

Kubo (71')
Endo (37'), Doan (57')

FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Olympic Games Men's Football clash between Japan Under-23s and South Africa Under-23s, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Africa Under-23s win with a probability of 41.06%. A win for Japan Under-23s had a probability of 32.19% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a South Africa Under-23s win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.59%) and 0-2 (7.38%). The likeliest Japan Under-23s win was 1-0 (9.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.

Result
Japan Under-23s	Draw	South Africa Under-23s
32.19%	26.76%	41.06%

Both teams to score 51%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.05%

53.95%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.6%

75.4%

Japan Under-23s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.8%

31.19%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.46%

67.54%

South Africa Under-23s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.12%

25.88%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.14%

60.86%

Score Analysis

Japan Under-23s 32.19%

South Africa Under-23s 41.05%

Draw 26.75%

Japan Under-23s	Draw	South Africa Under-23s
1-0 @ 9.4% 2-1 @ 7.4% 2-0 @ 5.48% 3-1 @ 2.88% 3-0 @ 2.13% 3-2 @ 1.94% Other @ 2.96% Total : 32.19%	1-1 @ 12.71% 0-0 @ 8.07% 2-2 @ 5.01% Other @ 0.97% Total : 26.75%	0-1 @ 10.91% 1-2 @ 8.59% 0-2 @ 7.38% 1-3 @ 3.87% 0-3 @ 3.32% 2-3 @ 2.26% 1-4 @ 1.31% 0-4 @ 1.12% Other @ 2.29% Total : 41.05%