MX23RW : Saturday, October 5 16:31:08| >> :600:1539370:1539370:
Olympic Games Men's Football | Semi-Finals
Aug 5, 2024 at 5pm UK
Stade Velodrome

Morocco U23s
1 - 2
Spain U23s

Rahimi (37' pen.)
Rahimi (37'), Richardson (76')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Lopez (66'), Sanchez (85')
Tenas (37'), Lopez (67'), Bernabe (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Olympic Games Men's Football semi-final between Morocco Under-23s and Spain Under-23s, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: Morocco U23s 4-0 USA U23s
Friday, August 2 at 2pm in Olympic Games Men's Football
All competitions
Last Game: Japan U23s 0-3 Spain U23s
Friday, August 2 at 4pm in Olympic Games Men's Football

We said: Morocco 3-2 Spain (after extra time)

Two impressive sides will face off at Stade Velodrome, which is likely to be packed with Moroccan supporters. As both boast a prolific attack, an end-to-end contest may need extra time to decide who goes through to the final. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morocco Under-23s win with a probability of 36.97%. A win for Spain Under-23s had a probability of 36.21% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Morocco Under-23s win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.11%) and 2-0 (6.46%). The likeliest Spain Under-23s win was 0-1 (10.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.

Result
Morocco Under-23sDrawSpain Under-23s
36.97% (-0.303 -0.3) 26.82% (-0.047999999999998 -0.05) 36.21% (0.354 0.35)
Both teams to score 51.5% (0.172 0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.37% (0.20800000000001 0.21)53.63% (-0.204 -0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.87% (0.177 0.18)75.13% (-0.173 -0.17)
Morocco Under-23s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.99% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)28.01% (0.080000000000002 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.34% (-0.098999999999997 -0.1)63.66% (0.10299999999999 0.1)
Spain Under-23s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.54% (0.315 0.31)28.46% (-0.312 -0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.78% (0.39400000000001 0.39)64.22% (-0.39 -0.39)
Score Analysis
    Morocco Under-23s 36.96%
    Spain Under-23s 36.21%
    Draw 26.81%
Morocco Under-23sDrawSpain Under-23s
1-0 @ 10.14% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-1 @ 8.11% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
2-0 @ 6.46% (-0.081 -0.08)
3-1 @ 3.44% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.74% (-0.041 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.16% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.1% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 36.96%
1-1 @ 12.74% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 7.97% (-0.065 -0.06)
2-2 @ 5.1% (0.025 0.03)
3-3 @ 0.91% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.81%
0-1 @ 10.01%
1-2 @ 8.01% (0.056999999999999 0.06)
0-2 @ 6.3% (0.059 0.06)
1-3 @ 3.36% (0.053 0.05)
0-3 @ 2.64% (0.047 0.05)
2-3 @ 2.14% (0.029 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.05% (0.025 0.03)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 36.21%

How you voted: Morocco U23s vs Spain U23s

Morocco Under-23s
62.9%
Spain Under-23s
37.1%
229