Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Under-23s win with a probability of 46.23%. A win for Leeds United Under-23s had a probability of 31.39% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Under-23s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.38%) and 2-0 (5.96%). The likeliest Leeds United Under-23s win was 1-2 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.63%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester City Under-23s would win this match.
