Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton Under-21s win with a probability of 58.75%. A win for Stoke City Under-21s had a probability of 21.47% and a draw had a probability of 19.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southampton Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.16%) and 3-1 (7.09%). The likeliest Stoke City Under-21s win was 1-2 (5.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Southampton Under-21s would win this match.