Scottish Challenge Cup | Second Round

Aug 15, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

The Reigart Stadium

Albion Rovers
2 - 0
Tranent Juniors

Joseph (75', 87')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Higginbotham (31'), Horne (90')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Scottish Challenge Cup Second Round clash between Albion Rovers and Tranent Juniors.

Form, Standings, Stats

Albion Rovers

All competitions

Scottish Challenge Cup

Last Game: St Mirren U21s 2-2 Albion Rovers (2-4 pen.)
Tuesday, August 1 at 7.30pm in Scottish Challenge Cup

	Team	Goals scored	Avg per game	Top scorer
1	Bonnyrigg Rose	3	1.50	Barrett
2	Peterhead	3	1.50	O'Keefe
3	Dumbarton	2	1.00	Blair
4	Spartans	2	1.00	Dishington
5	Stranraer	2	1.00	Dolan
6	Clyde	1	0.50	Rennie
7	East Fife	1	0.50	Page
8	Elgin	0	0.00
9	Forfar	0	0.00
10	Stenhousemuir	0	0.00

Tranent Juniors

All competitions

Last Game: Tranent Juniors 0-0 Motherwell U21s (3-1 pen.)
Tuesday, August 1 at 7.45pm in Scottish Challenge Cup

	Team	Goals scored	Avg per game	Top scorer
1	Bonnyrigg Rose	3	1.50	Barrett
2	Peterhead	3	1.50	O'Keefe
3	Dumbarton	2	1.00	Blair
4	Spartans	2	1.00	Dishington
5	Stranraer	2	1.00	Dolan
6	Clyde	1	0.50	Rennie
7	East Fife	1	0.50	Page
8	Elgin	0	0.00
9	Forfar	0	0.00
10	Stenhousemuir	0	0.00

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tranent Juniors win with a probability of 40.83%. A win for Albion Rovers had a probability of 35.45% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tranent Juniors win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.17%) and 0-2 (5.81%). The likeliest Albion Rovers win was 2-1 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.

Result
Albion Rovers	Draw	Tranent Juniors
35.45% ( 0.19)	23.72% ( 0.02)	40.83% ( -0.2)

Both teams to score 62.29% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.3% (

-0.07)

39.7% (

0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.94% (

-0.07)

62.05% (

0.07)

Albion Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.62% (

0.07)

22.37% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.13% (

0.1)

55.87% (

-0.1)

Tranent Juniors Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.24% (

-0.12)

19.75% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.21% (

-0.19)

51.79% (

0.2)

Score Analysis

Albion Rovers 35.45%

Tranent Juniors 40.83%

Draw 23.72%

Albion Rovers	Draw	Tranent Juniors
2-1 @ 8.04% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 6.62% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 4.95% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 4.01% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.25% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.47% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.5% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.22% ( 0) 4-0 @ 0.93% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.46% Total : 35.45%	1-1 @ 10.73% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.52% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.42% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.76% ( -0) Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.72%	1-2 @ 8.7% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 7.17% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.81% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 4.71% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 3.52% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.14% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.91% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.43% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.27% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.17% Total : 40.83%