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Granada logo
La Liga | Gameweek 14
Nov 21, 2021 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio Nuevo Los Cármenes
Real Madrid logo

Granada
1 - 4
Real Madrid

Suarez Charris (34')
Montoro (62')
Monchu (67'), Moreno (69')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Asensio (19'), Nacho (25'), Junior (56'), Mendy (76')
Isco (80')

Preview: Granada vs. Real Madrid - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Granada and Real Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Real Madrid will be looking to make it three La Liga victories in a row when they resume their domestic campaign away to lowly Granada on Sunday afternoon.

Los Blancos are currently second in the table, one point behind leaders Real Sociedad, while Granada occupy 17th, having picked up just 11 points from their first 12 matches of the 2021-22 campaign.


Match preview

Granada coach Robert Moreno pictured on September 20, 2021© Reuters

There is no getting away from the fact that it has been a tough start to the season for Granada, who have won two, drawn five and lost five of their opening 12 matches to collect 11 points, which has left them in 17th.

Having finished seventh and ninth in their last two seasons at this level, a lot was expected of Robert Moreno's side this term, but they currently find themselves at the wrong end of the table.

Granada have shown a lot of improvement in recent weeks, though, losing just one of their last five league matches, which was a 2-0 reverse at Espanyol just before the international break.

Moreno's team have beaten Sevilla and Granada, in addition to drawing with Osasuna and Getafe, since the start of October and will believe that they have more than enough to avoid a relegation battle.

Granada have not beaten Real Madrid in the league since February 2013, though, losing each of their last 12 top-flight fixtures against the capital giants, including a 4-1 defeat in the corresponding clash last term.

Real Madrid's Vinicius Junior celebrates scoring their first goal with teammates on October 30, 2021© Reuters

Real Madrid, meanwhile, entered the international break off the back of a 2-1 win over Rayo Vallecano, with Toni Kroos and Karim Benzema scoring the goals for Carlo Ancelotti's side.

Los Blancos have won eight, drawn three and lost one of their 12 league matches this season to collect 27 points, which has left them second in the table, one point behind leaders Real Sociedad, although the Basque outfit have played a game more.

Real Madrid are comfortably the leading scorers in La Liga this term with 28, but they have conceded 13 times down the other end, keeping just one clean sheet in their last five league outings.

Ancelotti's side have not been without their problems this season, but they are now very much on course to advance to the knockout round of the Champions League and will be content with their position in Spain's top flight heading into the next set of fixtures.

It is a huge few weeks for the club, though, as they will face Sheriff Tiraspol in the Champions League next week before three straight league matches against Sevilla, Athletic Bilbao and Real Sociedad, which come ahead of a home game against Inter Milan in Europe and a league clash with Atletico Madrid.

Granada La Liga form:
  • L
  • W
  • D
  • D
  • W
  • L

Real Madrid La Liga form:
  • D
  • L
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • W

Real Madrid form (all competitions):
  • W
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • W
  • W



Team News

Real Madrid's Karim Benzema and Toni Kroos celebrate their first goal, an own goal scored by Shakhtar Donetsk's Serhiy Kryvtsov on October 19, 2021© Reuters

Granada will again be without the services of Domingos Duarte due to a muscular problem, while Luis Milla and Isma Ruiz are unlikely to be available for selection.

Yan Eteki and Maxime Gonalons have both recovered from issues over the international break, though, and will be in contention to come into the starting XI this weekend.

Darwin Machis is also pushing for a spot in the side, but it seems likely that Luis Suarez and Jorge Molina will again feature as the front two in a 4-4-2 formation.

As for Real Madrid, Dani Ceballos and Gareth Bale are unavailable for selection through injury, but Federico Valverde, Mariano Diaz and Rodrygo have all returned to fitness over the international break.

There are not expected to be any real surprises in the away side's XI, with Luka Modric set to re-join Casemiro and Kroos in the middle of the park.

Head coach Ancelotti could decide to make just two changes from the team that took to the field for the first whistle against Rayo before the international break, with Rodrygo coming in for Marco Asensio, and Modric taking the place of Eduardo Camavinga.

Granada possible starting lineup:
Maximiano; Quini, Diaz, Sanchez, Neva; Rochina, Monchu, Gonalons, Soro; Molina, Suarez

Real Madrid possible starting lineup:
Courtois; Carvajal, Militao, Alaba, Mendy; Kroos, Casemiro, Modric; Rodrygo, Benzema, Vinicius


SM words green background

We say: Granada 1-3 Real Madrid

Granada have been much-improved in recent weeks and are certainly capable of making this an uncomfortable match for Real Madrid, who have had a lot of players away on international duty. That said, we are finding it very difficult to predict anything other than a comfortable away success for Ancelotti's side.


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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 67.28%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Granada had a probability of 12.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.48%) and 1-2 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.43%), while for a Granada win it was 1-0 (4.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Granada vs Real Madrid

Granada
12.3%
Draw
4.7%
Real Madrid
83.0%
171
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona12110140112933
2Real Madrid1173121111024
3Atletico MadridAtletico126511871123
4Villarreal116322019121
5Osasuna126331716121
6Athletic Bilbao125431812619
7Real BetisBetis125431210219
8Mallorca12534109118
9Rayo Vallecano114431210216
10Celta Vigo125161820-216
11Real Sociedad124351010015
12GironaGirona124351517-215
13Sevilla124351217-515
14AlavesAlaves124171419-513
15Leganes122551216-411
16Getafe12174810-210
17Espanyol123181122-1110
18Las PalmasLas Palmas122371321-89
19Real ValladolidValladolid12228924-158
20Valencia11146817-97


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