Russian Premier League | Gameweek 22

Apr 9, 2023 at 6pm UK

RZD Arena

Lokomotiv
1 - 2
Zenit

Glushenkov (26')
Nenakhov (31')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Wendel (40'), Cassierra (77')
Rodrigao (90+5')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Lokomotiv Moscow and Zenit St Petersburg.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lokomotiv Moscow

All competitions

Last Game: Nizhny Novgorod 0-4 Lokomotiv
Saturday, April 1 at 12pm in Russian Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Zenit St Petersburg

All competitions

Last Game: Zenit 2-0 Ural
Saturday, April 1 at 5pm in Russian Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zenit St Petersburg win with a probability of 57.24%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Lokomotiv Moscow had a probability of 20.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zenit St Petersburg win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.98%) and 1-2 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.76%), while for a Lokomotiv Moscow win it was 1-0 (5.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zenit St Petersburg would win this match.

Result
Lokomotiv Moscow	Draw	Zenit St Petersburg
20.08% ( 0.06)	22.68% ( 0.02)	57.24% ( -0.08)

Both teams to score 52.86% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.72% (

0.01)

46.27% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.43% (

0.01)

68.56% (

-0.02)

Lokomotiv Moscow Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.86% (

0.08)

37.13% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.08% (

0.08)

73.92% (

-0.08)

Zenit St Petersburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.08% (

-0.02)

15.92% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.83% (

-0.04)

45.17% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Lokomotiv Moscow 20.08%

Zenit St Petersburg 57.23%

Draw 22.68%

Lokomotiv Moscow	Draw	Zenit St Petersburg
1-0 @ 5.86% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 5.33% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 2.9% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 1.76% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.62% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 0.96% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.66% Total : 20.08%	1-1 @ 10.76% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.91% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.9% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 0.99% ( 0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 22.68%	0-1 @ 10.86% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 9.98% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 9.89% ( -0) 0-3 @ 6.11% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 6.06% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3% ( 0) 0-4 @ 2.81% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 2.78% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.38% 0-5 @ 1.03% ( -0) 1-5 @ 1.02% ( -0) Other @ 2.31% Total : 57.23%