European Championship | Semi-Finals
Jul 9, 2024 at 8pm UK
Allianz Arena
Spain2 - 1France
Reaction
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The Match
Analysis
Sports Mole analyses Spain's narrow 2-1 win over France in the Euro 2024 semi-finals, including highlights, man of the match and stats.
Match Report
Lamine Yamal and Dani Olmo get on the scoresheet as Spain fight back from a goal down to beat France 2-1 in the Euro 2024 semi-finals.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Tuesday's European Championship semi-final between Spain and France, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Spain could line up for Tuesday's Euro 2024 semi-final versus France.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Spain 2-1 Germany
Friday, July 5 at 5pm in European Championship
Friday, July 5 at 5pm in European Championship
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Spain | 3 | 5 | 9 |
| 2 | Italy | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | Croatia | 3 | -3 | 2 |
| 4 | Albania | 3 | -2 | 1 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spain win with a probability of 43.44%. A win for France had a probability of 30.32% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spain win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.9%) and 2-0 (7.76%). The likeliest France win was 0-1 (8.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Spain would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Spain | Draw | France |
| 43.44% | 26.24% | 30.32% |
| Both teams to score 51.85% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
