Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a East Fife win with a probability of 37.11%. A win for Spartans had a probability of 36.93% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a East Fife win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.26%) and 0-2 (6.18%). The likeliest Spartans win was 1-0 (9.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for East Fife in this match.