Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee United win with a probability of 40.19%. A win for Motherwell had a probability of 32.36% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundee United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.36%) and 2-0 (7.42%). The likeliest Motherwell win was 0-1 (10.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Dundee United would win this match.