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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 24
Jan 29, 2022 at 3pm UK
Tynecastle
Motherwell logo

Hearts
2 - 0
Motherwell

Halliday (37'), Simms (58')
Haring (68')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Kelly (4'), Goss (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Hearts and Motherwell, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Hearts 1-0 Motherwell

With the two teams next to each other in the league table, there is obviously going to be little to separate them, as they have been evenly matched throughout the season. Having won a game each against each other within the campaign, they know how to get three points at the expense of the other, but Hearts could just edge this one with their attacking quality. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 59.57%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Motherwell had a probability of 18.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.78%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.61%), while for a Motherwell win it was 0-1 (5.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.

Result
HeartsDrawMotherwell
59.57%22.33%18.11%
Both teams to score 50.59%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.41%47.59%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.21%69.8%
Hearts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.41%15.59%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.44%44.57%
Motherwell Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.94%40.07%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.29%76.72%
Score Analysis
    Hearts 59.56%
    Motherwell 18.11%
    Draw 22.32%
HeartsDrawMotherwell
1-0 @ 11.61%
2-0 @ 10.78%
2-1 @ 9.87%
3-0 @ 6.68%
3-1 @ 6.11%
4-0 @ 3.11%
4-1 @ 2.84%
3-2 @ 2.8%
4-2 @ 1.3%
5-0 @ 1.15%
5-1 @ 1.06%
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 59.56%
1-1 @ 10.61%
0-0 @ 6.25%
2-2 @ 4.51%
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 22.32%
0-1 @ 5.71%
1-2 @ 4.86%
0-2 @ 2.61%
1-3 @ 1.48%
2-3 @ 1.38%
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 18.11%

How you voted: Hearts vs Motherwell

Hearts
Draw
Motherwell
Hearts
81.8%
Draw
9.1%
Motherwell
9.1%
22
Head to Head
Nov 20, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 14
Motherwell
2-0
Hearts
Shields (23'), Lamie (66')
Watt (90+4')

Moore (48')
Moore (64')
Oct 2, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 8
Hearts
2-0
Motherwell
Boyce (5' pen.), Kingsley (22')
Devlin (43'), Moore (75'), Baningime (83')

Ojala (11'), Grimshaw (18'), McGinley (90+2')
Mar 7, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 30
Hearts
1-1
Motherwell
Washington (49')
Dikamona (61'), Hickey (90+4')
Long (21')
Maguire (39'), Aarons (58'), O'Hara (79')
Dec 7, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 17
Motherwell
1-0
Hearts
Long (40')
Long (66'), Campbell (75'), Donnelly (81')

Berra (62')
Mulraney (92')
Sep 14, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 5
Hearts
2-3
Motherwell
Ikpeazu (61'), Meshino (86')
Halkett (58'), Berra (62'), Ikpeazu (95')
Gallagher (20'), Seedorf (52'), Hylton (66')
Carroll (9'), Donnelly (22'), Seedorf (53')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Championship Group
1Celtic000097227581
2RangersRangers000068353366
3Hibernian000054411353
4Dundee UnitedDundee Utd00004140150
5Aberdeen00004549-450
6St Mirren00004554-941
Relegation Group
1Hearts00004344-140
2Motherwell00003756-1939
3Kilmarnock00003858-2035
4Ross County00003356-2335
5Dundee00005071-2134
6St Johnstone00003358-2529
 
First Phase
1Celtic33263497227581
2RangersRangers33206768353366
3Hibernian331411854411353
4Dundee UnitedDundee Utd33148114140150
5Aberdeen33148114549-450
6St Mirren33125164554-941
7Hearts33117154344-140
8Motherwell33116163756-1939
9Kilmarnock3398163858-2035
10Ross County3398163356-2335
11Dundee3397175071-2134
12St Johnstone3385203358-2529


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