Scottish Premiership

Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 24

Jan 29, 2022 at 3pm UK

Tynecastle

Hearts
2 - 0
Motherwell

Halliday (37'), Simms (58')
Haring (68')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Kelly (4'), Goss (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Hearts and Motherwell, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Hearts 1-0 Motherwell

With the two teams next to each other in the league table, there is obviously going to be little to separate them, as they have been evenly matched throughout the season. Having won a game each against each other within the campaign, they know how to get three points at the expense of the other, but Hearts could just edge this one with their attacking quality. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 59.57%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Motherwell had a probability of 18.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.78%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.61%), while for a Motherwell win it was 0-1 (5.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.

Result
Hearts	Draw	Motherwell
59.57%	22.33%	18.11%

Both teams to score 50.59%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.41%

47.59%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.21%

69.8%

Hearts Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.41%

15.59%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.44%

44.57%

Motherwell Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.94%

40.07%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.29%

76.72%

Score Analysis

Hearts 59.56%

Motherwell 18.11%

Draw 22.32%

Hearts	Draw	Motherwell
1-0 @ 11.61% 2-0 @ 10.78% 2-1 @ 9.87% 3-0 @ 6.68% 3-1 @ 6.11% 4-0 @ 3.11% 4-1 @ 2.84% 3-2 @ 2.8% 4-2 @ 1.3% 5-0 @ 1.15% 5-1 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.26% Total : 59.56%	1-1 @ 10.61% 0-0 @ 6.25% 2-2 @ 4.51% Other @ 0.95% Total : 22.32%	0-1 @ 5.71% 1-2 @ 4.86% 0-2 @ 2.61% 1-3 @ 1.48% 2-3 @ 1.38% Other @ 2.07% Total : 18.11%