Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Livingston win with a probability of 45.16%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Aberdeen had a probability of 26.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Livingston win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.09%) and 2-1 (8.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.98%), while for an Aberdeen win it was 0-1 (9.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.