Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 43.69%. A win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 32.04% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.36%) and 2-0 (6.74%). The likeliest Hellas Verona win was 1-2 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bologna would win this match.
