Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 16

Jan 4, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Giuseppe Meazza

Inter Milan
1 - 0
Napoli

Dzeko (56')
Dzeko (27'), Barella (84'), Dumfries (87')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Di Lorenzo (85'), Min-jae (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Serie A clash between Inter Milan and Napoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Inter Milan

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Sassuolo 0-1 Inter Milan
Thursday, December 29 at 4pm in Club Friendlies 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Napoli

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Napoli 3-1 Crystal Palace
Sunday, December 11 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Inter Milan 2-2 Napoli

In their last 24 league games Inter have never drawn - posting 18 wins and six losses during that spell - but now would not be a bad time to start. Though they really need maximum points to start closing the gap to distant leaders Napoli, the visitors' potent attack cannot be kept quiet for a full 90 minutes and a point apiece will have to suffice. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 42.47%. A win for Napoli had a probability of 34.8% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.19%) and 2-0 (5.47%). The likeliest Napoli win was 1-2 (7.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result
Inter Milan	Draw	Napoli
42.47% ( 0.58)	22.73% ( -0.32)	34.8% ( -0.27)

Both teams to score 65.9% (

1.16)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.07% (

1.54)

34.93% (

-1.54)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.09% (

1.7)

56.91% (

-1.7)

Inter Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.92% (

0.87)

17.08% (

-0.87)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.73% (

1.51)

47.26% (

-1.52)

Napoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.48% (

0.57)

20.52% (

-0.57)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.98% (

0.9)

53.02% (

-0.9)

Score Analysis

Inter Milan 42.47%

Napoli 34.8%

Draw 22.73%

Inter Milan	Draw	Napoli
2-1 @ 8.67% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 6.19% ( -0.31) 2-0 @ 5.47% ( -0.11) 3-1 @ 5.11% ( 0.13) 3-2 @ 4.04% ( 0.17) 3-0 @ 3.23% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 2.26% ( 0.12) 4-2 @ 1.79% ( 0.12) 4-0 @ 1.43% ( 0.05) 4-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.08) Other @ 3.35% Total : 42.47%	1-1 @ 9.81% ( -0.31) 2-2 @ 6.86% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 3.5% ( -0.28) 3-3 @ 2.14% ( 0.13) Other @ 0.42% Total : 22.73%	1-2 @ 7.77% ( -0.11) 0-1 @ 5.55% ( -0.34) 0-2 @ 4.4% ( -0.19) 1-3 @ 4.1% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 3.62% ( 0.12) 0-3 @ 2.32% ( -0.06) 1-4 @ 1.62% ( 0.04) 2-4 @ 1.44% ( 0.07) 0-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.06% Total : 34.8%