Serie B | Gameweek 16
Dec 9, 2023 at 1pm UK
Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca
Ascoli1 - 2Spezia
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Ascoli and Spezia.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ascoli win with a probability of 42.16%. A win for Spezia had a probability of 31.12% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ascoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.7%) and 2-0 (7.64%). The likeliest Spezia win was 0-1 (9.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ascoli | Draw | Spezia |
42.16% ( -0.04) | 26.72% ( 0.01) | 31.12% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 50.73% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.88% ( -0.02) | 54.12% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.46% ( -0.02) | 75.54% ( 0.03) |
| Ascoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.63% ( -0.03) | 25.38% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.83% ( -0.05) | 60.18% ( 0.05) |
| Spezia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.98% ( 0.01) | 32.02% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 31.52% ( 0.01) | 68.48% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
Ascoli 42.16%
Spezia 31.12%
Draw 26.71%
| Ascoli | Draw | Spezia |
| 1-0 @ 11.14% 2-1 @ 8.7% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 7.64% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.98% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.49% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.27% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.36% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.2% ( -0)Other @ 2.38% Total : 42.16% | 1-1 @ 12.68% 0-0 @ 8.13% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.96% ( -0)Other @ 0.95% Total : 26.71% | 0-1 @ 9.25% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.23% ( 0)0-2 @ 5.27% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.74% ( 0)0-3 @ 2% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.88% Other @ 2.75% Total : 31.12% |
Head to Head
