Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salernitana win with a probability of 37.44%. A win for Frosinone had a probability of 33.37% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Salernitana win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.61%) and 2-0 (7.21%). The likeliest Frosinone win was 0-1 (11.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Salernitana in this match.
